"Capital asserts a life of its own, and it's not until it can feed itself that you can be sure of making a profit."
This quote by Myron Scholes emphasizes the idea that capital, or financial resources, must be self-sustaining in order to generate profits. It suggests that simply investing money does not guarantee success; instead, it implies the need for strategic planning and growth mechanisms within an investment or business enterprise so that the funds can continuously grow and sustain themselves over time. Essentially, the capital should have a "life of its own" – meaning it should have the ability to generate income and increase in value without constant input from external sources – to ensure long-term profitability.
"If you can't model risk, you can't manage it."
This quote by Myron Scholes emphasizes the importance of understanding and quantifying risk in financial decision-making. To effectively manage risk, one must have a clear grasp of its nature and magnitude. By modeling risk, investors and financiers can predict potential outcomes under different scenarios, make informed decisions, and structure strategies to minimize losses or maximize returns. Without a sound model for assessing risk, it becomes difficult to control and navigate the inherent volatility in financial markets.
"Options are like a variable annuity with the annuitant having the option to be murdered at any time."
This quote by Myron Scholes suggests that options, which are financial instruments allowing the holder to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price on or before a specific date, can carry significant risk. He compares this risk to the hypothetical situation of a variable annuity holder, who receives regular payments based on their investment, being subjected to unexpected harm. In essence, he is warning that the use of options involves potential losses due to market volatility or unforeseen events, just as the annuitant's life can be abruptly ended in his metaphor.
"In finance, nothing is for certain except the dynamics of change."
Myron Scholes' quote emphasizes that in finance, the only constant factor is the process of change itself. This means that financial markets, trends, and principles are never static; they evolve over time due to factors such as economic conditions, technological advancements, regulatory changes, or even human behavior. Investors should always expect uncertainty, adapt to new developments, and be prepared for continuous learning and adjustment in their strategies.
"Finance is not about making predictions. It's about dealing with uncertainty."
Myron Scholes' quote emphasizes that finance is less about predicting future events accurately, such as stock market movements or economic trends, and more about managing and navigating the inherent uncertainties within these fields. In essence, it suggests that understanding risk, volatility, and potential outcomes – rather than trying to precisely foresee specific outcomes – forms the core of financial decision-making. This mindset encourages investors to adopt prudent strategies focused on diversification, hedging risks, and maintaining flexibility in response to changing market conditions.
Most of the time, your risk management works. With a systemic event such as the recent shocks following the collapse of Lehman Brothers, obviously the risk-management system of any one bank appears, after the fact, to be incomplete. We ended up where banks couldn't liquidate their risk, and the system tended to freeze up.
- Myron Scholes
Keynesian modelling relies on marginal propensity to consume and marginal propensity to invest. The idea that if we give more money to the poor, they have a propensity to consume that's much higher than the wealthy, though I wish they would talk to my wife about that; she seems to have a propensity to consume.
- Myron Scholes
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